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Jeju SK FC vs. Bayern Munich - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Jeju SK FC vs. Bayern Munich - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 99% O/U 1.5 96% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 93% Bayern Munich O/U 1.5 90% Volume: $81K Liquidity: $451K Closes: 4 Aug 2026
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Jeju SK FC vs. Bayern Munich - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
99% 1% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
99% 1% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.599%
O/U 1.596%
2nd Half O/U 0.593%
Bayern Munich O/U 1.590%
1st Half O/U 0.588%
O/U 2.586%
Bayern Munich (-1.5)75%
Bayern Munich O/U 2.575%
Bayern Munich 1st Half O/U 0.575%
2nd Half O/U 1.573%
O/U 3.572%
1st Half O/U 1.565%
Bayern Munich 2nd Half O/U 1.564%
Jeju SK FC O/U 0.563%
Both Teams to Score60%
Bayern Munich (-2.5)56%
Bayern Munich 1st Half O/U 1.554%
Bayern Munich O/U 0.552%
O/U 4.551%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half50%
Jeju SK FC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Bayern Munich 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
2nd Half O/U 2.548%
Jeju SK FC 1st Half O/U 1.547%
Jeju SK FC 2nd Half O/U 0.543%
Bayern Munich (-3.5)40%
1st Half O/U 2.539%
O/U 5.536%
Jeju SK FC 1st Half O/U 0.535%
Both Teams to Score in First Half26%
Jeju SK FC O/U 1.524%
Jeju SK FC O/U 2.58%
Jeju SK FC (-1.5)2%
Jeju SK FC (-2.5)1%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 99% probability to jeju sk fc vs. bayern munich - more markets. More markets for the Club Friendlies game, scheduled for August 4 at 7:00 AM ET.

Methodology

We track Jeju SK FC vs. Bayern Munich - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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