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Dota 2: Dandelions vs Level UP (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: Dandelions vs Level UP (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Ends in Daytime 53% Any Player Rampage 53% Both Teams Destroy Barracks 51% Any Player Ultra Kill 51% Volume: $78K Liquidity: $210K Closes: 25 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Dandelions vs Level UP (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
53% 47% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
53% 47% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Ends in Daytime53%
Any Player Rampage53%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks51%
Any Player Ultra Kill51%
Game 2 Winner50%
O/U 2.5 Games50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Game 1 Winner49%
Match Winner49%
Both Teams Beat Roshan49%
Ends in Daytime48%
Any Player Rampage48%
Game Handicap: LVLUP (-1.5) vs Dandelions (+1.5)46%
Both Teams Beat Roshan41%
Any Player Ultra Kill41%
Any Player Rampage41%
Ends in Daytime41%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks40%

Market context

Market consensus: 53% chance of dota 2: dandelions vs level up (bo3) - epl masters play-in group b. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Dandelions and Level UP in the EPL Masters Play-In Group B, initially scheduled for July 25 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve t…

Methodology

We track Dota 2: Dandelions vs Level UP (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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