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Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% O/U 3.5 100% Volume: $153K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
O/U 4.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
Both Teams to Score in First Half100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
1st Half O/U 2.5100%
Querétaro FC O/U 0.5100%
Querétaro FC O/U 1.5100%
Querétaro FC O/U 2.5100%
Tigres de la UANL O/U 0.5100%
Tigres de la UANL O/U 1.5100%
Querétaro FC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Querétaro FC 1st Half O/U 1.5100%
Tigres de la UANL 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Querétaro FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Tigres de la UANL 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Querétaro FC (-1.5)0%
Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)0%
Querétaro FC (-2.5)0%
Tigres de la UANL (-2.5)0%
O/U 5.50%
Tigres de la UANL O/U 2.50%
Tigres de la UANL 1st Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Querétaro FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Tigres de la UANL 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Querétaro FC host Tigres de la UANL in a Liga MX match, and the market’s **0% YES** implies the crowd is treating a positive outcome on this “more markets” position as essentially impossible. In handicapper terms, Tigres are the clear favourite on class and historical results, while Querétaro sit in the underdog role; that leaves the consensus firmly on the side of the away team and makes the only obvious value angle a contrarian one tied to volatility rather than raw match strength. Recent head-to-head data leans heavily Tigres’ way: they have avoided defeat in 14 of the last 16 meetings, and broader H2H records show 17 or 18 Tigres wins across 29-30 games, with Querétaro managing only 3 wins.[2][7][17][18]

For traders, the main catalysts are the line-ups, any late injuries or rotation, and whether Tigres treat the fixture as a routine points job or as a managed minutes spot amid a congested calendar. Public stats from the March 2025 meeting show Tigres dominating possession and chance quality in a 1-0 win, with 81% possession and 11 shots, which reinforces the favourite narrative if a similar XI is named.[13] Querétaro’s recent form has also been leaky, conceding 2.00 goals per game across their last five, while Tigres have been scoring and conceding at roughly one goal per game over that same span, a profile that keeps the consensus with Tigres but leaves some room for a low-scoring upset or a narrow away result if the market has over-corrected.[2][11]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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