Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Universitatea Craiova CS (-1.5) | 100% |
| Universitatea Craiova CS (-2.5) | 100% |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Universitatea Craiova CS O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Universitatea Craiova CS O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Universitatea Craiova CS O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Universitatea Craiova CS 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Universitatea Craiova CS 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Universitatea Craiova CS 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Universitatea Craiova CS 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| FC Petrolul Ploieşti (-1.5) | 0% |
| FC Petrolul Ploieşti (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Petrolul Ploieşti O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FC Petrolul Ploieşti O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FC Petrolul Ploieşti O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Petrolul Ploieşti 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FC Petrolul Ploieşti 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Petrolul Ploieşti 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FC Petrolul Ploieşti 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Universitatea Craiova against FC Petrolul Ploieşti is priced by the crowd as a **100% yes** on the broader “more markets” theme, which effectively leaves the consensus fully aligned with a Craiova-favoured read of the fixture. That fits the recent head-to-head and form picture: Craiova beat Petrolul 4-0 in Ploieşti on 19 January 2026, and the same pairing has generally leaned towards the stronger side in the longer run, with Craiova winning most of the recorded meetings[1][3][5][14]. In handicapper terms, the favourite case is already fully absorbed by the market, so the only real value angle is contrarian: looking for a lower-event script, a narrower margin, or a Petrolul resistance line if the price has over-corrected to Craiova dominance[3][12][20].
The main catalyst is team news rather than historical bias. The match is scheduled for Stadionul Ion Oblemenco in Craiova on 1 August 2026, and the exact settlement window runs to 18:30 UTC, so any late line-up information, injuries, suspensions or rotation decisions close to kick-off could matter most[8][20]. Petrolul’s away set-up is the obvious dependency for traders: if they field a conservative block, the market may drift towards unders and one-sided scorelines; if Craiova rest key attackers or show signs of fatigue from schedule congestion, the “more markets” side may become less compelling than the crowd implies[3][14][20]. Earlier market snapshots and previews have also pointed to Craiova as the stronger side, but not necessarily to a high-scoring game, which leaves room for a contrarian under-based angle if pre-match team sheets are defensive[12][20].
Methodology
We track Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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