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LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Who Will Win.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 65% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 65% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 62% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 57% Volume: $65K Liquidity: $297K Closes: 25 Jul 2026
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LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
65% 35% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
65% 35% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon62%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?57%
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)56%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?56%
Any Player Penta Kill53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?46%
First Blood in Game 2?46%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?41%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?40%
O/U 2.5 Games37%
Any Player Quadra Kill29%
Any Player Quadra Kill29%
Game 2 Winner28%
Game 1 Winner27%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Match Winner19%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor19%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor19%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors15%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors14%

Market context

The LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season prediction market currently prices this outcome at 65% YES. This market refers to the LoL match between Team Vitality and G2 Esports in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 25 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team …

Methodology

We track LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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