Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Ohio vs. Sacramento State | 100% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Ohio O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Ohio O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Ohio O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| Ohio 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Ohio 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Ohio 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Spread -12.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Spread -10.5 | 99% |
| Spread -7.5 | 99% |
| Spread -6.5 | 99% |
| Spread -5.5 | 99% |
| Spread -4.5 | 99% |
| Spread -3.5 | 99% |
| Spread -2.5 | 99% |
| Spread -1.5 | 99% |
| Spread -11.5 | 99% |
| Spread -9.5 | 99% |
| Spread -16.5 | 98% |
| Spread -14.5 | 98% |
| Spread -13.5 | 98% |
| Spread -17.5 | 97% |
| Spread -15.5 | 97% |
| Spread -20.5 | 95% |
| O/U 35.5 | 94% |
| Spread -21.5 | 94% |
| Spread -19.5 | 94% |
| Spread -18.5 | 94% |
| Spread -22.5 | 93% |
| Spread -24.5 | 90% |
| O/U 37.5 | 83% |
| O/U 39.5 | 82% |
| Spread -27.5 | 82% |
| Spread -28.5 | 77% |
| Spread -30.5 | 75% |
| O/U 41.5 | 72% |
| O/U 43.5 | 63% |
| O/U 45.5 | 62% |
| Spread -31.5 | 61% |
| O/U 47.5 | 54% |
| Spread -34.5 | 53% |
| Sacramento State O/U 26.5 | 51% |
| Ohio 2H O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 51% |
| Sacramento State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 51% |
| Ohio vs. Sacramento State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 51% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 51% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ohio O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Ohio O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Ohio 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ohio 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Ohio vs. Sacramento State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Ohio vs. Sacramento State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Ohio vs. Sacramento State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Ohio 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ohio Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Ohio vs. Sacramento State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Ohio vs. Sacramento State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Sacramento State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Ohio O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 49% |
| Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| Spread -14.5 | 49% |
| Spread -16.5 | 49% |
| Spread -17.5 | 49% |
| Spread -20.5 | 49% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 49% |
| Sacramento State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 49% |
| Sacramento State O/U 23.5 | 46% |
| O/U 49.5 | 42% |
| O/U 51.5 | 31% |
| O/U 53.5 | 31% |
| O/U 55.5 | 22% |
| O/U 57.5 | 22% |
| O/U 59.5 | 11% |
| O/U 61.5 | 9% |
| O/U 63.5 | 8% |
| O/U 65.5 | 5% |
| O/U 67.5 | 5% |
| O/U 69.5 | 5% |
| O/U 73.5 | 2% |
| O/U 75.5 | 2% |
| Spread -1.5 | 1% |
| Spread -2.5 | 1% |
| O/U 71.5 | 1% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to ohio vs. sacramento state. In the upcoming college football game between Ohio and Sacramento State, scheduled for October 17 at 10:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ohio" if Ohio win the game. This market will resolve to "S…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $159K.
Methodology
We track Ohio vs. Sacramento State across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2214%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2236%22%20height%3D%228%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%23facc15%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2210%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2244%22%20height%3D%2214%22%20rx%3D%227%22%20fill%3D%22%23facc15%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%228%22%20%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%23facc15%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2248%22%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%23facc15%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Ohio vs. Sacramento State on Who Will Win
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →