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UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Five-platform snapshot of "UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Main Card)" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Rizvan Kuniev vs. Tyrell Fortune 100% Fight won by KO/TKO? 99% O/U 0.5 Rounds 51% Fight to Go the Distance? 50% Volume: $191K Liquidity: $303K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Rizvan Kuniev vs. Tyrell Fortune100%
Fight won by KO/TKO?99%
O/U 0.5 Rounds51%
Fight to Go the Distance?50%
Kuniev to win by KO/TKO?50%
Fortune to win by KO/TKO?50%
Fight won by submission?50%
O/U 1.5 Rounds50%
O/U 2.5 Rounds50%

Market context

The UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Main Card) prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market will resolve to "Rizvan Kuniev" if Rizvan Kuniev is officially declared the winner of the fight against Tyrell Fortune at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr., scheduled for July 25,…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Rizvan Kuniev vs. Tyrell Fortune at 100% for "UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Main Card)".

Rizvan Kuniev vs. Tyrell Fortune 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $191K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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